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Right now, we have this positive confluence of earnings and economic news that has been propelling the market. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Right now, we have this positive confluence of earnings and economic news that has been propelling the market.

News

Between leading indicators and subdued inflation expectations, it's really set a nice backdrop for the market today, - Jack Ablin Quotes

Between leading indicators and subdued inflation expectations, it's really set a nice backdrop for the market today,

Economists are expecting a gradual slowdown in economic growth paired with a slowdown in inflation. That will allow the Federal Reserve to wind up its rate-hiking campaign. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Economists are expecting a gradual slowdown in economic growth paired with a slowdown in inflation. That will allow the Federal Reserve to wind up its rate-hiking campaign.

It seems like the market is obsessing on this bond market fallout, which was somewhat precipitated by the move to raise (interest rates) in Japan. A lot of the fuel that has been used to invest in this bond market has been derived from 'easy money' in Japan. - Jack Ablin Quotes

It seems like the market is obsessing on this bond market fallout, which was somewhat precipitated by the move to raise (interest rates) in Japan. A lot of the fuel that has been used to invest in this bond market has been derived from 'easy money' in Japan.

This deal makes sense for both companies. Bank of New York has been expanding in the custodial business and doing a fine job. This shift out of distribution is an ideal fit for J.P. Morgan. - Jack Ablin Quotes

This deal makes sense for both companies. Bank of New York has been expanding in the custodial business and doing a fine job. This shift out of distribution is an ideal fit for J.P. Morgan.

With light volume, we're going to bounce around like a ping-pong ball. I wouldn't take any moves this week as a clear indication of anything. - Jack Ablin Quotes

With light volume, we're going to bounce around like a ping-pong ball. I wouldn't take any moves this week as a clear indication of anything.

I would infer from the statement that the Fed is somewhat more sanguine on the economic recovery. Perhaps they believe that $55 oil prices are, at least for the time being, something of the past and that jobs are just improving at a moderate pace. - Jack Ablin Quotes

I would infer from the statement that the Fed is somewhat more sanguine on the economic recovery. Perhaps they believe that $55 oil prices are, at least for the time being, something of the past and that jobs are just improving at a moderate pace.

Any bad news can throw us, and the jobs report was perceived as bad news, seen as a sign that the recovery is fragile, but that's not necessarily true. In the last two recessions, a pickup in employment only happened a year after the recession had ended. So just because unemployment is higher doesn't mean we're not on track for a recovery. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Any bad news can throw us, and the jobs report was perceived as bad news, seen as a sign that the recovery is fragile, but that's not necessarily true. In the last two recessions, a pickup in employment only happened a year after the recession had ended. So just because unemployment is higher doesn't mean we're not on track for a recovery.

Jobs

People are taking some comfort in results and a feeling that the economy is getting better, but there's still some caution. We need to see more evidence of a sustainable recovery. We need companies to start seeing profits more through top-line growth than just cost-cutting measures. - Jack Ablin Quotes

People are taking some comfort in results and a feeling that the economy is getting better, but there's still some caution. We need to see more evidence of a sustainable recovery. We need companies to start seeing profits more through top-line growth than just cost-cutting measures.

The spending spree is over. Take that ATM off the front of your house. You're not going to be able to draw cash out of your house anymore. Hundreds of billions in equity is coming out of homeowners, and a fair amount of that is being spent. The [refinancing] boom presupposes increases in housing prices. All it takes is for housing to go flat and the housing story is over. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The spending spree is over. Take that ATM off the front of your house. You're not going to be able to draw cash out of your house anymore. Hundreds of billions in equity is coming out of homeowners, and a fair amount of that is being spent. The [refinancing] boom presupposes increases in housing prices. All it takes is for housing to go flat and the housing story is over.

They're going to get a deal done, but they may end up paying a premium. These firms are finding an increasing portion of their bottom line attributed to trading and asset management. - Jack Ablin Quotes

They're going to get a deal done, but they may end up paying a premium. These firms are finding an increasing portion of their bottom line attributed to trading and asset management.

We're certainly on solid footing on an economic front. - Jack Ablin Quotes

We're certainly on solid footing on an economic front.

There's really not a lot of information here to work with, and I think the market's taking a rest. We're still a few weeks away from first-quarter earnings, so all you have to focus on is a slowing economy and interest rates. - Jack Ablin Quotes

There's really not a lot of information here to work with, and I think the market's taking a rest. We're still a few weeks away from first-quarter earnings, so all you have to focus on is a slowing economy and interest rates.

The tick up in oil prices hurts, but history has shown that interest rates have a much bigger impact on the stock market than oil. And looking at the ISM services number, you're seeing the kind of gradual, lazy improvement in the economy that's not going to really get rates going. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The tick up in oil prices hurts, but history has shown that interest rates have a much bigger impact on the stock market than oil. And looking at the ISM services number, you're seeing the kind of gradual, lazy improvement in the economy that's not going to really get rates going.

Any number Wal-Mart gives is tantamount to an economic indicator, - Jack Ablin Quotes

Any number Wal-Mart gives is tantamount to an economic indicator,

Over the last four years the Fed has played the part of a surrealistic painter, creating a dreamy backdrop with generously low interest rates. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Over the last four years the Fed has played the part of a surrealistic painter, creating a dreamy backdrop with generously low interest rates.

There has been this continual debate as to whether higher oil prices are inflationary or a restraint on growth. This year, the bond market has signaled that it is inflationary. - Jack Ablin Quotes

There has been this continual debate as to whether higher oil prices are inflationary or a restraint on growth. This year, the bond market has signaled that it is inflationary.

There has been this continual debate as to whether higher oil prices are inflationary or a restraint on growth, ... This year, the bond market has signaled that it is inflationary. - Jack Ablin Quotes

There has been this continual debate as to whether higher oil prices are inflationary or a restraint on growth, ... This year, the bond market has signaled that it is inflationary.

Gold is creating a psychological dark cloud over the market. With gold on the upside and inflation fears, the numbers we get tomorrow will clarify some of these concerns. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Gold is creating a psychological dark cloud over the market. With gold on the upside and inflation fears, the numbers we get tomorrow will clarify some of these concerns.

Gold

Economists are expecting a gradual slowdown in economic growth paired with a slowdown in inflation, ... That will allow the Federal Reserve to wind up its rate-hiking campaign. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Economists are expecting a gradual slowdown in economic growth paired with a slowdown in inflation, ... That will allow the Federal Reserve to wind up its rate-hiking campaign.

If there is anything more than 250,000 jobs then everything reverses and all bets about a pause at 3.25 percent are off, - Jack Ablin Quotes

If there is anything more than 250,000 jobs then everything reverses and all bets about a pause at 3.25 percent are off,

Jobs

But the key here is really going to be guidance. Everyone is looking for signs of the rolling over of profit growth, although not as much as the Fed or higher energy prices might indicate. - Jack Ablin Quotes

But the key here is really going to be guidance. Everyone is looking for signs of the rolling over of profit growth, although not as much as the Fed or higher energy prices might indicate.

The bond market is still behind the inflation curve. The inflation story continues to chip away at our economy and it doesn't seem to be getting any weaker. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The bond market is still behind the inflation curve. The inflation story continues to chip away at our economy and it doesn't seem to be getting any weaker.

The projected job growth number would mark a pretty strong snapback from the previous month. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The projected job growth number would mark a pretty strong snapback from the previous month.

The world assumes the Fed will raise the rates by a quarter percentage point, that's a non-event. It's what the statement lays out about the pace of future rate hikes that will be important, because that's what people are thinking about. I think the inflation reports will also be pivotal next week. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The world assumes the Fed will raise the rates by a quarter percentage point, that's a non-event. It's what the statement lays out about the pace of future rate hikes that will be important, because that's what people are thinking about. I think the inflation reports will also be pivotal next week.

This lends some comfort to the situation. In spite of slight economic weakness, the Fed sees no need to change its strategy. It's also not going to shut down the economy too quickly. - Jack Ablin Quotes

This lends some comfort to the situation. In spite of slight economic weakness, the Fed sees no need to change its strategy. It's also not going to shut down the economy too quickly.

Generally, Wal-Mart can give real-time data faster than the government, because they can just pull this off their cash registers. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Generally, Wal-Mart can give real-time data faster than the government, because they can just pull this off their cash registers.

It was probably one of the quietest days of the year. We started the day with good news on weaker oil [prices] but bad news on housing sales. - Jack Ablin Quotes

It was probably one of the quietest days of the year. We started the day with good news on weaker oil [prices] but bad news on housing sales.

All of those things conspired to create a difficult environment for stocks. - Jack Ablin Quotes

All of those things conspired to create a difficult environment for stocks.

Maybe now there's enough fear out there to form a base to rally again. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Maybe now there's enough fear out there to form a base to rally again.

Fear

We're no longer in a buy-and-hold environment. You have to be much more active in sector allocation. That's where the future of this business is going. - Jack Ablin Quotes

We're no longer in a buy-and-hold environment. You have to be much more active in sector allocation. That's where the future of this business is going.

Traders found some weakness in the factory orders in the ISM report after digging around. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Traders found some weakness in the factory orders in the ISM report after digging around.

I don't see any last-day-of-the-year rebound. I think it will be more of the same tomorrow. - Jack Ablin Quotes

I don't see any last-day-of-the-year rebound. I think it will be more of the same tomorrow.

The employment report is one of the key indicators for figuring out if the consumer can hold on. We're trying to transition this economy away from the consumer, but this potential war is getting in the way. We have to keep consumer spending going until corporate executives are able to make decisions regarding corporate spending. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The employment report is one of the key indicators for figuring out if the consumer can hold on. We're trying to transition this economy away from the consumer, but this potential war is getting in the way. We have to keep consumer spending going until corporate executives are able to make decisions regarding corporate spending.

We're still getting more negatives on the economic front today, and this is a period where we're really looking for economic growth to avoid a Fed rate cut. - Jack Ablin Quotes

We're still getting more negatives on the economic front today, and this is a period where we're really looking for economic growth to avoid a Fed rate cut.

We can't believe any trend right now, until the issues tied to this conflict are resolved. Unfortunately, in this kind of market there's going to be no clear direction. We're going to be in this holding pattern for the next few weeks, at least. - Jack Ablin Quotes

We can't believe any trend right now, until the issues tied to this conflict are resolved. Unfortunately, in this kind of market there's going to be no clear direction. We're going to be in this holding pattern for the next few weeks, at least.

Accounting concerns continue to dominate the market. We're going to be seeing this 'Prove it to me' investing for a while. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Accounting concerns continue to dominate the market. We're going to be seeing this 'Prove it to me' investing for a while.

We have some very ugly numbers. You can argue that the ISM is still backward looking, and maybe even the jobless claims, but eventually we're going to need some evidence that the economy is improving. We had a lot of enthusiasm coming from earnings, but the news today is a little bit of a slap in the face that we're not out of the woods yet. - Jack Ablin Quotes

We have some very ugly numbers. You can argue that the ISM is still backward looking, and maybe even the jobless claims, but eventually we're going to need some evidence that the economy is improving. We had a lot of enthusiasm coming from earnings, but the news today is a little bit of a slap in the face that we're not out of the woods yet.

The market was dealt a one-two punch. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The market was dealt a one-two punch.

Confidence is slipping, manufacturing is slowing, and even with today's jobs report, the employment trend is still negative. The bet here is that the Federal Reserve will have to stop raising rates in order to keep the economy from sliding further. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Confidence is slipping, manufacturing is slowing, and even with today's jobs report, the employment trend is still negative. The bet here is that the Federal Reserve will have to stop raising rates in order to keep the economy from sliding further.

It's increasingly believed among participants that the Fed will skip the next meeting, and possibly one more by the end of the year. - Jack Ablin Quotes

It's increasingly believed among participants that the Fed will skip the next meeting, and possibly one more by the end of the year.

The confidence report really personifies what's going on in consumers' minds right now. Investors are looking at Katrina and Rita as a one-two punch for the economy. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The confidence report really personifies what's going on in consumers' minds right now. Investors are looking at Katrina and Rita as a one-two punch for the economy.

What I worry about is that if the Fed continues to tighten, they could commit the same error they have done every time since 1980 and cause a financial crisis. - Jack Ablin Quotes

What I worry about is that if the Fed continues to tighten, they could commit the same error they have done every time since 1980 and cause a financial crisis.

Worry

We've come off a phenomenal July. And we've seen a real reversal in the stocks that were leading the market, with economically-sensitive names doing well. - Jack Ablin Quotes

We've come off a phenomenal July. And we've seen a real reversal in the stocks that were leading the market, with economically-sensitive names doing well.

After looking at the employment numbers, there is no doubt in my mind that the measured language remains. Knowing what we know now, there's no pause in 2005. - Jack Ablin Quotes

After looking at the employment numbers, there is no doubt in my mind that the measured language remains. Knowing what we know now, there's no pause in 2005.

Doubt

Investors have their rally caps on for year end, and we're doing it with speculation. With a good inflation report and strong growth, it seems to be the perfect elixir for Wall Street. - Jack Ablin Quotes

Investors have their rally caps on for year end, and we're doing it with speculation. With a good inflation report and strong growth, it seems to be the perfect elixir for Wall Street.

You needed to be a meteorologist to make money in this market. - Jack Ablin Quotes

You needed to be a meteorologist to make money in this market.

Money

The market is starting to shift back to quality stocks. - Jack Ablin Quotes

The market is starting to shift back to quality stocks.

You have to look at all the options you have available, from A to Z. - Jack Ablin Quotes

You have to look at all the options you have available, from A to Z.

For the fee-based deal business, it's still a favorable environment. But they also have a huge consumer credit exposure. - Jack Ablin Quotes

For the fee-based deal business, it's still a favorable environment. But they also have a huge consumer credit exposure.

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